Tajikistan Population Pyramid 2040
Tajikistan
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2040
Population:
13,713,947
Summary
Tajikistan in 2040
United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Tajikistan at 13,713,947 in 2040. That would be 16.9% more than in 2030 (11,733,068).
With a projected median age of 26.1 years, Tajikistan would have a youth dependency ratio of 45.8 and an old-age dependency ratio of 10.0 per 100 people of working age. This is a stationary pyramid — similar numbers in each age group up to the older cohorts, the signature of near-replacement fertility.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for Tajikistan
Population
13,713,947
Median age
26.1
0-14 %
29.4%
65+ %
6.4%
Child dependency
45.8
Old-age dependency
10.0
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
15,574,643
Population 2100
20,201,583
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.07
The fertility rate of Tajikistan was 3.07 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
4050607080
19602023 · 71.8
Life expectancy at birth was 71.8 years in 2023: 74.0 for women and 69.6 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Tajikistan
Where immigrants come from (2024)
276,478 immigrants live in Tajikistan, 2.6% of the population.
| Russian Federation | 235,636 |
| Afghanistan | 12,467 |
| Kyrgyzstan | 11,382 |
| Uzbekistan | 7,583 |
| Ukraine | 1,215 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
514,478 people born in Tajikistan live in other countries.
| Russian Federation | 415,676 |
| Ukraine | 30,256 |
| Kazakhstan | 27,922 |
| Turkey | 11,341 |
| Uzbekistan | 11,339 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How Tajikistan compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tajikistan | 13,713,947 | 26.1 | |
| Turkmenistan | 8,932,232 | 31.0 | |
| Kyrgyzstan | 8,757,697 | 28.8 | |
| Kazakhstan | 24,246,823 | 30.6 | |
| Uzbekistan | 46,044,152 | 28.0 |
Frequently asked questions about Tajikistan's population
How many people are projected to live in Tajikistan in 2040?
Tajikistan is projected to have a population of 13,713,947 in 2040.
Is Tajikistan's population growing or shrinking?
Tajikistan's population grew 16.9% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 15,574,643 by 2050.
How old is the population of Tajikistan?
Tajikistan's median age is 26.1 years.
How many children and older people live in Tajikistan?
In Tajikistan, 29.4% of people are under 15 and 6.4% are 65 or older.
What type of population pyramid does Tajikistan have?
Tajikistan's pyramid is stationary — similar-sized cohorts through the younger ages, the signature of near-replacement fertility.
