Tajikistan Population Pyramid 2041
Tajikistan
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2041
Population:
13,915,195
Summary
Tajikistan in 2041
By 2041, the population of Tajikistan is expected to reach 13,915,196. Ten years before, in 2031, the projected population is 11,920,473 — 16.7% lower.
Half of the population would be younger than 26.4 years, with 29.2% children under 15 and 6.5% aged 65 or older. The pyramid is stationary: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level and slow population change.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for Tajikistan
Population
13,915,196
Median age
26.4
0-14 %
29.2%
65+ %
6.5%
Child dependency
45.5
Old-age dependency
10.1
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
15,574,643
Population 2100
20,201,583
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.07
The fertility rate of Tajikistan was 3.07 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
4050607080
19602023 · 71.8
Life expectancy at birth was 71.8 years in 2023: 74.0 for women and 69.6 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Tajikistan
Where immigrants come from (2024)
276,478 immigrants live in Tajikistan, 2.6% of the population.
| Russian Federation | 235,636 |
| Afghanistan | 12,467 |
| Kyrgyzstan | 11,382 |
| Uzbekistan | 7,583 |
| Ukraine | 1,215 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
514,478 people born in Tajikistan live in other countries.
| Russian Federation | 415,676 |
| Ukraine | 30,256 |
| Kazakhstan | 27,922 |
| Turkey | 11,341 |
| Uzbekistan | 11,339 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How Tajikistan compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tajikistan | 13,915,196 | 26.4 | |
| Turkmenistan | 9,010,272 | 31.2 | |
| Kyrgyzstan | 8,853,444 | 29.0 | |
| Kazakhstan | 24,477,622 | 30.8 | |
| Uzbekistan | 46,636,743 | 28.1 |
Frequently asked questions about Tajikistan's population
How many people are projected to live in Tajikistan in 2041?
Tajikistan is projected to have a population of 13,915,196 in 2041.
Is the population of Tajikistan increasing or decreasing?
Tajikistan's population grew 16.7% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 15,574,643 by 2050.
How old is the population of Tajikistan?
Tajikistan's median age is 26.4 years.
How many children and older people live in Tajikistan?
6.5% of Tajikistan's population is 65 or older, and 29.2% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does Tajikistan have?
Tajikistan's pyramid is stationary — similar-sized cohorts through the younger ages, the signature of near-replacement fertility.
