Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Tajikistan Population Pyramid 2048

Tajikistan
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2048
Population: 15,236,597

Year

-5 -1   2048  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Tajikistan in 2048

By 2048, the population of Tajikistan is expected to reach 15,236,598. Compared with 2038, when the projection stands at 13,308,240, that represents growth of 14.5% over ten years.

With a projected median age of 28.3 years, Tajikistan would have a youth dependency ratio of 43.6 and an old-age dependency ratio of 11.5 per 100 people of working age. The pyramid is stationary: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level and slow population change.

Ranks #82 of 201 by population Ranks #151 of 201 by median age Ranks #48 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Tajikistan
Population
15,236,598
Median age
28.3
0-14 %
28.1%
65+ %
7.4%
Child dependency
43.6
Old-age dependency
11.5
Region
ASIA
Pyramid shape
Stationary
Population 2050
15,574,643
Population 2100
20,201,583
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.07

The fertility rate of Tajikistan was 3.07 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 71.8

Life expectancy at birth was 71.8 years in 2023: 74.0 for women and 69.6 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Tajikistan
Where immigrants come from (2024)

276,478 immigrants live in Tajikistan, 2.6% of the population.

Russian Federation235,636
Afghanistan12,467
Kyrgyzstan11,382
Uzbekistan7,583
Ukraine1,215
Where emigrants live (2024)

514,478 people born in Tajikistan live in other countries.

Russian Federation415,676
Ukraine30,256
Kazakhstan27,922
Turkey11,341
Uzbekistan11,339
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Tajikistan compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Tajikistan 15,236,598 28.3
Turkmenistan 9,518,554 33.1
Kyrgyzstan 9,478,923 30.9
Kazakhstan 26,106,840 31.9
Uzbekistan 50,975,933 28.9
Frequently asked questions about Tajikistan's population
How many people are projected to live in Tajikistan in 2048?
Tajikistan is projected to have a population of 15,236,598 in 2048.
Is the population of Tajikistan increasing or decreasing?
Yes, growing: up 14.5% from 2038, with a projected population of 15,574,643 in 2050.
What is the median age in Tajikistan?
The median age in Tajikistan is 28.3 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of Tajikistan's population is over 65 or under 15?
In Tajikistan, 28.1% of people are under 15 and 7.4% are 65 or older.
What type of population pyramid does Tajikistan have?
Tajikistan's pyramid is stationary — similar-sized cohorts through the younger ages, the signature of near-replacement fertility.

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