Tajikistan Population Pyramid 2098
Tajikistan
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2098
Population:
20,183,243
Summary
Tajikistan in 2098
In 2098, Tajikistan is projected to have a population of 20,183,244 people. Ten years before, in 2088, the projected population is 19,843,142 — 1.7% lower.
With a projected median age of 40.8 years, Tajikistan would have a youth dependency ratio of 28.0 and an old-age dependency ratio of 31.3 per 100 people of working age. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for Tajikistan
Population
20,183,244
Median age
40.8
0-14 %
17.6%
65+ %
19.7%
Child dependency
28.0
Old-age dependency
31.3
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
15,574,643
Population 2100
20,201,583
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.07
The fertility rate of Tajikistan was 3.07 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
4050607080
19602023 · 71.8
Life expectancy at birth was 71.8 years in 2023: 74.0 for women and 69.6 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Tajikistan
Where immigrants come from (2024)
276,478 immigrants live in Tajikistan, 2.6% of the population.
| Russian Federation | 235,636 |
| Afghanistan | 12,467 |
| Kyrgyzstan | 11,382 |
| Uzbekistan | 7,583 |
| Ukraine | 1,215 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
514,478 people born in Tajikistan live in other countries.
| Russian Federation | 415,676 |
| Ukraine | 30,256 |
| Kazakhstan | 27,922 |
| Turkey | 11,341 |
| Uzbekistan | 11,339 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How Tajikistan compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tajikistan | 20,183,244 | 40.8 | |
| Kyrgyzstan | 11,723,982 | 42.1 | |
| Turkmenistan | 10,003,646 | 44.6 | |
| Kazakhstan | 33,523,830 | 41.5 | |
| Uzbekistan | 73,829,450 | 39.5 |
Frequently asked questions about Tajikistan's population
What will the population of Tajikistan be in 2098?
UN projections put Tajikistan's population at 20,183,244 in 2098.
Is the population of Tajikistan increasing or decreasing?
Tajikistan's population grew 1.7% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 15,574,643 by 2050.
How old is the population of Tajikistan?
Tajikistan's median age is 40.8 years.
How many children and older people live in Tajikistan?
19.7% of Tajikistan's population is 65 or older, and 17.6% is under 15.
What shape is Tajikistan's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Tajikistan has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.
