Tajikistan Population Pyramid 2099
Tajikistan
Afghanistan
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2099
Population:
20,194,581
Summary
Tajikistan in 2099
United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Tajikistan at 20,194,582 in 2099. That would be 1.5% more than in 2089 (19,891,820).
Half of the population would be younger than 41.0 years, with 17.5% children under 15 and 19.9% aged 65 or older. The narrow base of the pyramid marks a constrictive age structure: fertility below replacement level and a rising share of older people.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for Tajikistan
Population
20,194,582
Median age
41.0
0-14 %
17.5%
65+ %
19.9%
Child dependency
27.9
Old-age dependency
31.8
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
15,574,643
Population 2100
20,201,583
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.07
The fertility rate of Tajikistan was 3.07 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
4050607080
19602023 · 71.8
Life expectancy at birth was 71.8 years in 2023: 74.0 for women and 69.6 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Tajikistan
Where immigrants come from (2024)
276,478 immigrants live in Tajikistan, 2.6% of the population.
| Russian Federation | 235,636 |
| Afghanistan | 12,467 |
| Kyrgyzstan | 11,382 |
| Uzbekistan | 7,583 |
| Ukraine | 1,215 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
514,478 people born in Tajikistan live in other countries.
| Russian Federation | 415,676 |
| Ukraine | 30,256 |
| Kazakhstan | 27,922 |
| Turkey | 11,341 |
| Uzbekistan | 11,339 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How Tajikistan compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tajikistan | 20,194,582 | 41.0 | |
| Kyrgyzstan | 11,727,482 | 42.2 | |
| Turkmenistan | 9,975,698 | 44.8 | |
| Kazakhstan | 33,599,945 | 41.7 | |
| Uzbekistan | 74,095,862 | 39.7 |
Frequently asked questions about Tajikistan's population
How many people are projected to live in Tajikistan in 2099?
Tajikistan is projected to have a population of 20,194,582 in 2099.
Is Tajikistan's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 1.5% from 2089, with a projected population of 15,574,643 in 2050.
How old is the population of Tajikistan?
The median age in Tajikistan is 41.0 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Tajikistan?
In Tajikistan, 17.5% of people are under 15 and 19.9% are 65 or older.
What shape is Tajikistan's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Tajikistan has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.
