Tonga Population Pyramid 2033

Tonga
2033
Population: 101,807

Year

-5 -1   2033  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Tonga in 2033

In 2033, Tonga is projected to have a population of 101,807 people. Compared with 2023, when the projection stands at 104,598, that represents a decline of 2.7% over ten years.

With a projected median age of 23.4 years, Tonga would have a youth dependency ratio of 51.0 and an old-age dependency ratio of 13.6 per 100 people of working age. The broad-based, expansive shape of the pyramid points to high fertility and strong population growth.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
101,807
Median age
23.4
0-14 %
31.0%
65+ %
8.3%
Child dependency
51.0
Old-age dependency
13.6
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
105,195
Population 2100
117,871
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.13

The fertility rate of Tonga was 3.13 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
50607080
19602023 · 72.9

Life expectancy at birth was 72.9 years in 2023: 76.4 for women and 69.4 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
255075100
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

998 immigrants live in Tonga, 1.0% of the population.

Fiji450
Samoa208
India169
China109
Japan62
Where emigrants live (2024)

51,894 people born in Tonga live in other countries.

New Zealand29,981
Australia19,464
Fiji1,389
Guinea901
Samoa57
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Tonga 101,807 23.4
Samoa 231,109 22.1
French Polynesia 287,181 41.6
What will the population of Tonga be in 2033?
Tonga is projected to have a population of 101,807 in 2033.
Is Tonga's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, shrinking: down 2.7% from 2023, with a projected population of 105,195 in 2050.
How old is the population of Tonga?
The median age in Tonga is 23.4 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of Tonga's population is over 65 or under 15?
8.3% of Tonga's population is 65 or older, and 31.0% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does Tonga have?
Tonga's pyramid is expansive — broad at the bottom, the signature of high birth rates and a growing population.

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