Tonga Population Pyramid 2038

Tonga
2038
Population: 102,174

Year

-5 -1   2038  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Tonga in 2038

By 2038, the population of Tonga is expected to reach 102,175. The projection for 2028 is nearly the same: 102,565.

Half of the population would be younger than 24.7 years, with 30.3% children under 15 and 9.4% aged 65 or older. This is an expansive pyramid — each cohort of children is larger than the one above it, the signature of high birth rates and rapid growth.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
102,175
Median age
24.7
0-14 %
30.3%
65+ %
9.4%
Child dependency
50.2
Old-age dependency
15.6
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
105,195
Population 2100
117,871
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.13

The fertility rate of Tonga was 3.13 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
50607080
19602023 · 72.9

Life expectancy at birth was 72.9 years in 2023: 76.4 for women and 69.4 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
255075100
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

998 immigrants live in Tonga, 1.0% of the population.

Fiji450
Samoa208
India169
China109
Japan62
Where emigrants live (2024)

51,894 people born in Tonga live in other countries.

New Zealand29,981
Australia19,464
Fiji1,389
Guinea901
Samoa57
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Tonga 102,175 24.7
Samoa 242,155 23.2
French Polynesia 288,905 44.0
How many people are projected to live in Tonga in 2038?
Tonga is projected to have a population of 102,175 in 2038.
Is the population of Tonga increasing or decreasing?
It has been roughly stable since 2028, with a projected population of 105,195 in 2050.
What is the median age in Tonga?
Tonga's median age is 24.7 years.
How many children and older people live in Tonga?
9.4% of Tonga's population is 65 or older, and 30.3% is under 15.
What shape is Tonga's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Tonga's pyramid is expansive — broad at the bottom, the signature of high birth rates and a growing population.

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