Tonga Population Pyramid 2038
Tonga in 2038
By 2038, the population of Tonga is expected to reach 102,175. The projection for 2028 is nearly the same: 102,565.
Half of the population would be younger than 24.7 years, with 30.3% children under 15 and 9.4% aged 65 or older. This is an expansive pyramid — each cohort of children is larger than the one above it, the signature of high birth rates and rapid growth.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
The fertility rate of Tonga was 3.13 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth was 72.9 years in 2023: 76.4 for women and 69.4 for men.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
998 immigrants live in Tonga, 1.0% of the population.
| Fiji | 450 |
| Samoa | 208 |
| India | 169 |
| China | 109 |
| Japan | 62 |
51,894 people born in Tonga live in other countries.
| New Zealand | 29,981 |
| Australia | 19,464 |
| Fiji | 1,389 |
| Guinea | 901 |
| Samoa | 57 |
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonga | 102,175 | 24.7 | |
| Samoa | 242,155 | 23.2 | |
| French Polynesia | 288,905 | 44.0 |





