Tonga Population Pyramid 2041

Tonga
2041
Population: 102,797

Year

-5 -1   2041  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Tonga in 2041

By 2041, the population of Tonga is expected to reach 102,798. That would be 0.9% more than in 2031 (101,925).

Half of the population would be younger than 25.6 years, with 30.1% children under 15 and 9.8% aged 65 or older. This is an expansive pyramid — each cohort of children is larger than the one above it, the signature of high birth rates and rapid growth.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
102,798
Median age
25.6
0-14 %
30.1%
65+ %
9.8%
Child dependency
50.0
Old-age dependency
16.3
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
105,195
Population 2100
117,871
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.13

The fertility rate of Tonga was 3.13 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
50607080
19602023 · 72.9

Life expectancy at birth was 72.9 years in 2023: 76.4 for women and 69.4 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
255075100
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

998 immigrants live in Tonga, 1.0% of the population.

Fiji450
Samoa208
India169
China109
Japan62
Where emigrants live (2024)

51,894 people born in Tonga live in other countries.

New Zealand29,981
Australia19,464
Fiji1,389
Guinea901
Samoa57
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Tonga 102,798 25.6
Samoa 249,796 23.7
French Polynesia 289,126 45.2
What will the population of Tonga be in 2041?
Tonga is projected to have a population of 102,798 in 2041.
Is Tonga's population growing or shrinking?
Tonga's population grew 0.9% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 105,195 by 2050.
What is the median age in Tonga?
The median age in Tonga is 25.6 years — half the population is younger, half older.
What share of Tonga's population is over 65 or under 15?
In Tonga, 30.1% of people are under 15 and 9.8% are 65 or older.
What shape is Tonga's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Tonga's pyramid is expansive — broad at the bottom, the signature of high birth rates and a growing population.

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