Tonga Population Pyramid 2045

Tonga
2045
Population: 103,930

Year

-5 -1   2045  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Tonga in 2045

In 2045, Tonga is projected to have a population of 103,931 people. Compared with 2035, when the projection stands at 101,830, that represents growth of 2.1% over ten years.

The median age is projected at 26.4 years, with 49.6 children under 15 and 17.0 people aged 65 or over for every 100 people of working age (15–64). The pyramid is stationary: cohort sizes are roughly even through the younger ages, reflecting fertility close to replacement level and slow population change.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
103,931
Median age
26.4
0-14 %
29.8%
65+ %
10.2%
Child dependency
49.6
Old-age dependency
17.0
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
105,195
Population 2100
117,871
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.13

The fertility rate of Tonga was 3.13 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
50607080
19602023 · 72.9

Life expectancy at birth was 72.9 years in 2023: 76.4 for women and 69.4 for men.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
255075100
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

998 immigrants live in Tonga, 1.0% of the population.

Fiji450
Samoa208
India169
China109
Japan62
Where emigrants live (2024)

51,894 people born in Tonga live in other countries.

New Zealand29,981
Australia19,464
Fiji1,389
Guinea901
Samoa57
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Tonga 103,931 26.4
Samoa 260,262 24.4
French Polynesia 288,132 46.7
What will the population of Tonga be in 2045?
UN projections put Tonga's population at 103,931 in 2045.
Is Tonga's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 2.1% from 2035, with a projected population of 105,195 in 2050.
How old is the population of Tonga?
Tonga's median age is 26.4 years.
What share of Tonga's population is over 65 or under 15?
10.2% of Tonga's population is 65 or older, and 29.8% is under 15.
What shape is Tonga's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Tonga's pyramid is stationary — similar-sized cohorts through the younger ages, the signature of near-replacement fertility.

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