United Arab Emirates Population Pyramid 2040
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2040
Population:
13,693,776
Summary
United Arab Emirates in 2040
In 2040, the United Arab Emirates is projected to have a population of 13,693,776 people. That would be 12.3% more than in 2030 (12,190,605).
Half of the population would be younger than 33.2 years, with 17.9% children under 15 and 2.7% aged 65 or older. This is a constrictive pyramid — its base is narrower than its middle, the signature of sustained low birth rates and population ageing.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
Key indicators for United Arab Emirates
Population
13,693,776
Median age
33.2
0-14 %
17.9%
65+ %
2.7%
Child dependency
22.5
Old-age dependency
3.4
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
15,367,392
Population 2100
26,134,299
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 1.2
In 2023 women in the United Arab Emirates had on average 1.20 children, below the replacement level of 2.1.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total
Women
Men
405060708090
19602023 · 82.9
A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 82.9 years on average (84.2 years for girls, 82.0 for boys).
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children
Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from United Arab Emirates
Where immigrants come from (2024)
7,908,996 immigrants live in United Arab Emirates, 71.7% of the population.
| India | 3,248,545 |
| Bangladesh | 1,024,949 |
| Pakistan | 932,356 |
| Egypt | 841,883 |
| Philippines | 528,527 |
Where emigrants live (2024)
166,072 people born in United Arab Emirates live in other countries.
| Canada | 36,578 |
| Kuwait | 28,593 |
| India | 19,941 |
| Australia | 17,673 |
| State of Palestine | 14,071 |
Explore
Immigration statistics
Origin of migrant stocks map
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
How United Arab Emirates compares with its neighbours
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Arab Emirates | 13,693,777 | 33.2 | |
| Jordan | 14,471,297 | 30.1 | |
| Israel | 11,581,474 | 31.6 | |
| Azerbaijan | 11,081,336 | 39.0 | |
| State of Palestine | 7,291,826 | 25.6 |
Frequently asked questions about United Arab Emirates's population
What will the population of the United Arab Emirates be in 2040?
The United Arab Emirates is projected to have a population of 13,693,776 in 2040.
Is the United Arab Emirates's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 12.3% from 2030, with a projected population of 15,367,392 in 2050.
What is the median age in the United Arab Emirates?
The median age in the United Arab Emirates is 33.2 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in the United Arab Emirates?
2.7% of the United Arab Emirates's population is 65 or older, and 17.9% is under 15.
What type of population pyramid does the United Arab Emirates have?
The United Arab Emirates has a constrictive pyramid: cohorts of children are smaller than those of their parents, reflecting low fertility and an ageing population.
