Vanuatu Population Pyramid 2038
Vanuatu in 2038
In 2038, Vanuatu is projected to have a population of 435,153 people. Compared with 2028, when the projection stands at 357,404, that represents growth of 21.8% over ten years.
Half of the population would be younger than 23.7 years, with 32.9% children under 15 and 5.6% aged 65 or older. The pyramid is expansive: its wide base of young cohorts reflects high fertility and a rapidly growing population.
Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.
The fertility rate of Vanuatu was 3.60 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 71.5 years on average (73.9 years for girls, 69.4 for boys).
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.
2,420 immigrants live in Vanuatu, 0.7% of the population.
| Australia | 677 |
| France | 565 |
| New Zealand | 331 |
| New Caledonia | 267 |
| Fiji | 239 |
15,135 people born in Vanuatu live in other countries.
| Australia | 10,208 |
| New Caledonia | 4,021 |
| South Africa | 230 |
| French Polynesia | 210 |
| Fiji | 190 |
Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.
| Country | Population | Median age | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanuatu | 435,153 | 23.7 | |
| New Caledonia | 324,052 | 38.8 | |
| Fiji | 978,558 | 31.5 | |
| Solomon Islands | 1,098,297 | 24.7 | |
| Papua New Guinea | 13,047,124 | 26.8 |





