Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Vanuatu Population Pyramid 2040

Vanuatu
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2040
Population: 451,512

Year

-5 -1   2040  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Vanuatu in 2040

In 2040, Vanuatu is projected to have a population of 451,512 people. Ten years before, in 2030, the projected population is 372,428 — 21.2% lower.

With a projected median age of 24.2 years, Vanuatu would have a youth dependency ratio of 52.7 and an old-age dependency ratio of 9.5 per 100 people of working age. The broad-based, expansive shape of the pyramid points to high fertility and strong population growth.

Ranks #178 of 201 by population Ranks #166 of 201 by median age Ranks #29 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Vanuatu
Population
451,512
Median age
24.2
0-14 %
32.5%
65+ %
5.9%
Child dependency
52.7
Old-age dependency
9.5
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Expansive
Population 2050
534,388
Population 2100
875,479
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.6

The fertility rate of Vanuatu was 3.60 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 71.5

A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 71.5 years on average (73.9 years for girls, 69.4 for boys).

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Vanuatu
Where immigrants come from (2024)

2,420 immigrants live in Vanuatu, 0.7% of the population.

Australia677
France565
New Zealand331
New Caledonia267
Fiji239
Where emigrants live (2024)

15,135 people born in Vanuatu live in other countries.

Australia10,208
New Caledonia4,021
South Africa230
French Polynesia210
Fiji190
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Vanuatu compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Vanuatu 451,513 24.2
New Caledonia 327,500 39.3
Fiji 983,858 31.9
Solomon Islands 1,135,455 25.2
Papua New Guinea 13,376,161 27.3
Frequently asked questions about Vanuatu's population
How many people are projected to live in Vanuatu in 2040?
Vanuatu is projected to have a population of 451,512 in 2040.
Is Vanuatu's population growing or shrinking?
Yes, growing: up 21.2% from 2030, with a projected population of 534,388 in 2050.
What is the median age in Vanuatu?
Vanuatu's median age is 24.2 years.
What share of Vanuatu's population is over 65 or under 15?
5.9% of Vanuatu's population is 65 or older, and 32.5% is under 15.
What shape is Vanuatu's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Vanuatu's pyramid is expansive — broad at the bottom, the signature of high birth rates and a growing population.

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