Vanuatu Population Pyramid 2048

Vanuatu
2048
Population: 517,893

Year

-5 -1   2048  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Vanuatu in 2048

By 2048, the population of Vanuatu is expected to reach 517,893. Ten years before, in 2038, the projected population is 435,153 — 19.0% lower.

The median age is projected at 25.9 years, with 49.7 children under 15 and 10.3 people aged 65 or over for every 100 people of working age (15–64). This is an expansive pyramid — each cohort of children is larger than the one above it, the signature of high birth rates and rapid growth.

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Population
517,893
Median age
25.9
0-14 %
31.1%
65+ %
6.4%
Child dependency
49.7
Old-age dependency
10.3
Region
Pyramid shape
Population 2050
534,388
Population 2100
875,479
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.6

The fertility rate of Vanuatu was 3.60 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 71.5

A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 71.5 years on average (73.9 years for girls, 69.4 for boys).

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Where immigrants come from (2024)

2,420 immigrants live in Vanuatu, 0.7% of the population.

Australia677
France565
New Zealand331
New Caledonia267
Fiji239
Where emigrants live (2024)

15,135 people born in Vanuatu live in other countries.

Australia10,208
New Caledonia4,021
South Africa230
French Polynesia210
Fiji190
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

Country Population Median age Relative size
Vanuatu 517,894 25.9
New Caledonia 338,655 41.2
Fiji 998,560 33.7
Solomon Islands 1,275,594 27.0
Papua New Guinea 14,617,371 29.1
What will the population of Vanuatu be in 2048?
UN projections put Vanuatu's population at 517,893 in 2048.
Is the population of Vanuatu increasing or decreasing?
Yes, growing: up 19.0% from 2038, with a projected population of 534,388 in 2050.
What is the median age in Vanuatu?
The median age in Vanuatu is 25.9 years — half the population is younger, half older.
How many children and older people live in Vanuatu?
6.4% of Vanuatu's population is 65 or older, and 31.1% is under 15.
What shape is Vanuatu's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Vanuatu has an expansive pyramid: a wide base of young cohorts reflecting high fertility and continued population growth.

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