Population Pyramids of the World from 1950 to 2100

Vanuatu Population Pyramid 2053

Vanuatu
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2053
Population: 558,858

Year

-5 -1   2053  +1 +5

Country

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
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Summary

Vanuatu in 2053

United Nations projections (medium variant) put the population of Vanuatu at 558,858 in 2053. Ten years before, in 2043, the projected population is 476,311 — 17.3% lower.

Half of the population would be younger than 26.8 years, with 29.9% children under 15 and 7.4% aged 65 or older. This is an expansive pyramid — each cohort of children is larger than the one above it, the signature of high birth rates and rapid growth.

Ranks #174 of 201 by population Ranks #167 of 201 by median age Ranks #27 of 201 by growth

Share of the population by age group, 1950–2100

Data source: United Nations World Population Prospects, 2024 revision (medium variant) — last updated July 2024.

Key indicators for Vanuatu
Population
558,858
Median age
26.8
0-14 %
29.9%
65+ %
7.4%
Child dependency
47.7
Old-age dependency
11.8
Region
OCEANIA
Pyramid shape
Expansive
Population 2050
534,388
Population 2100
875,479
What is driving the change
Births per woman
Total fertility rate, 1960–2023
1234567
1960Replacement level (2.1)2023 · 3.6

The fertility rate of Vanuatu was 3.60 births per woman in 2023, above the 2.1 needed to replace each generation.

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

Life expectancy at birth
Years, 1960–2023
Total Women Men
4050607080
19602023 · 71.5

A child born there in 2023 could expect to live 71.5 years on average (73.9 years for girls, 69.4 for boys).

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, latest available year.

People supported per 100 workers
Dependency ratios, 1950–2100
Children Older adults
22456890
19502100
Migration to and from Vanuatu
Where immigrants come from (2024)

2,420 immigrants live in Vanuatu, 0.7% of the population.

Australia677
France565
New Zealand331
New Caledonia267
Fiji239
Where emigrants live (2024)

15,135 people born in Vanuatu live in other countries.

Australia10,208
New Caledonia4,021
South Africa230
French Polynesia210
Fiji190
Explore
Immigration statistics Origin of migrant stocks map

Source: United Nations International Migrant Stock 2024.

How Vanuatu compares with its neighbours
Country Population Median age Relative size
Vanuatu 558,858 26.8
New Caledonia 342,931 42.2
Fiji 1,001,529 35.0
Solomon Islands 1,358,105 28.1
Papua New Guinea 15,319,642 30.2
Frequently asked questions about Vanuatu's population
What will the population of Vanuatu be in 2053?
Vanuatu is projected to have a population of 558,858 in 2053.
Is Vanuatu's population growing or shrinking?
Vanuatu's population grew 17.3% over the previous ten years, and is projected to reach 534,388 by 2050.
What is the median age in Vanuatu?
Vanuatu's median age is 26.8 years.
What share of Vanuatu's population is over 65 or under 15?
In Vanuatu, 29.9% of people are under 15 and 7.4% are 65 or older.
What shape is Vanuatu's population pyramid, and what does it mean?
Vanuatu's pyramid is expansive — broad at the bottom, the signature of high birth rates and a growing population.

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